Forecast installs and revenue with seasonality

ForecastingMedium

Problem. You need a weekly installs/revenue forecast (e.g., Prophet) for planning. How do you build it, handle games' seasonality and launch spikes, and evaluate it?

Before you reveal: say your answer out loud, as if you were in the real interview — get your reasoning across clearly first. There is no single correct answer: reading what the interviewer is really after and defending your own thinking is what makes an answer strong.